dispute over the Arab revolution. The assertion that democratization in the Arab world is impossible. Link to civilization late Huntington's theory. Here they say, such tsiyilizatsiya.
But in Huntington, but enjoys great popularity of the theory of "clash of civilizations", there is the concept of "waves of democratization."
Here is what Huntington wrote:
About five hundred years ago a small group of Portuguese leaders and thinkers, including King Juan II, Prince Henry the Navigator, Bartolomeu Dias and Vasco da Gama, acting boldly, decisively and unconventionally, to bring into law a new era in human history - the era of geographical discoveries. Their example was followed by Spain, France, Britain and the Netherlands. Slightly more than twenty years ago, Mario Soares and his colleagues, working at least boldly, decisively and outside the box, opened a new era in human history - the era of democracy. Their example was also followed by Spain, Greece, Brazil and many other countries.
However, the result could be quite different. After the overthrow of the dictatorship of the movement of armed forces in April 1974, Portugal in a few months was gripped by chaos and collisions. At that moment, the chances of democracy seemed to be not very large. Many thought that comes to power Stalinist Communist Party of Portugal. This pessimism is shared by the U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger. During the visit, Mario Soares, the then Minister for Foreign Minister of the interim government in the United States, Henry Kissinger, scolded him and his government for liberalnichane with the Communists.
"You - Kerensky - then said Kissinger - I believe in your sincerity, but you're naive. "
On what Soares said:" I do not want to be a Kerensky. "
" Kerensky also did not want "- snapped Kissinger.
Nevertheless, Mario Soares and his colleagues have shown that Kissinger was wrong. In Portugal won Kerensky, democracy has been strengthened, and Mario Soares became Prime Minister and later President. The third wave of democratization, which originated in Portugal, in fact, opened the era of democracy. Now for the first time in history, more than half the countries have some form of democratic government.
http://old.russ.ru/journal/peresmot/97-12-29/hantin.htm
I Nene Aficionados of Huntington. But disputing the reasoning for its civilizational stool, IMHO, you should read or reread. Very interesting work ...
Perhaps we are witnessing the the birth of a new wave?
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